XGID=aBB---B-C--BeD-----babbb--:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:3:10
Pipcount X: 116 O: 125 X-O: 0-0/3
Cube : 1
X on roll, cube action
Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 67.56% (G: 14.50% B: 0.13%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32.44% (G: 5.12% B: 0.13%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 66.79% (G: 15.71% B: 0.16%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 33.21% (G: 5.28% B: 0.14%)
Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.495, Double=+1.114
Cubeful Equities:
No Double: +0.733 (-0.089)
Double/Take: +0.822
Double/Drop: +1.000 (+0.178)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout Truncated at 11 moves using 5 ply.
365 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1341
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ア 0.014 (+0.719<E<+0.748)
Confidence Double: ア 0.022 (+0.800<E<+0.845)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 5 minutes 16 seconds
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.13, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
ピップが負けていてオンザバー、しかも3ポイントマッチ初戦はパスしやすいのでパスしましたが、
かなりの確率でヒットできるのでイージーテイクでした。
西川さんの1手前の11のムーブ(6/3/*2)は圧倒的に正しかったです。こちらとしては大きい目を振って
レースに持ち込みたいところなので、それを防ぎつつ、ダンスした時のキューブが厳しくなります。
1. XG Roller+ 6/3* 3/2 eq:+0.356
Player : 58.46% (G:8.39% B:0.09%)
Opponent: 41.54% (G:4.78% B:0.10%)
2. XG Roller+ 8/5 6/5 eq:+0.201 (-0.156)
Player : 55.54% (G:4.12% B:0.07%)
Opponent: 44.46% (G:3.34% B:0.06%)
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.13, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
8ポイントの3枚目を6ポイントに移すと、ピップで2つ進む上にヒットチャンスが減るので今度は1.050程の
パスになります。
XGID=aBB---C-B--BeD-----babbb--:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:3:10
Pipcount X: 114 O: 125 X-O: 0-0/3
Cube : 1
X on roll, cube action
Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 69.59% (G: 18.32% B: 0.16%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 30.41% (G: 5.62% B: 0.15%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 69.04% (G: 20.27% B: 0.18%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 30.96% (G: 5.56% B: 0.16%)
Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.587, Double=+1.336
Cubeful Equities:
No Double: +0.848 (-0.152)
Double/Take: +1.075 (+0.075)
Double/Drop: +1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop
Rollout Truncated at 11 moves using 5 ply.
364 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1341
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ア 0.019 (+0.829<E<+0.867)
Confidence Double: ア 0.026 (+1.049<E<+1.101)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 4 minutes 47 seconds
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.13, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross