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12の理由 https://backgammon.or.jp/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=1291	ページ 1 ／ 1

作成者:

nori [ 2010/08/15 12:19 ]

記事の件名:

12の理由

ポジション ID: 7O4sABBs2wYAHA
マッチ ID: cInoAFAAIAAA

コード:

XGID=--aBBBBBB-------ab-cccbC--:0:0:1:21:4:5:0:7:10

X:nori   O:FRENCHKISS
Score is X:4 O:5 7 pt(s) match.
 +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
 |          O  O    |   | O  O  O  O  X    |
 |             O    |   | O  O  O  O  X    |
 |                  |   | O  O  O     X    |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |BAR|                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |             X  X |   | X  X  X  X       |
 |             X  X |   | X  X  X  X  O    |
 +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pipcount  X: 135  O: 99 X-O: 4-5/7
Cube  : 1
X to play 21

    1. XG Roller+  8/7 8/6                      eq:-0.422
      Player  : 35.36% (G:4.99% B:0.16%)
      Opponent: 64.64% (G:16.22% B:0.70%)

    2. XG Roller+  7/6 7/5                      eq:-0.479 (-0.056)
      Player  : 33.78% (G:4.16% B:0.15%)
      Opponent: 66.22% (G:15.69% B:0.77%)

    3. 4 ply       8/5                          eq:-0.478 (-0.056)
      Player  : 37.47% (G:4.81% B:0.15%)
      Opponent: 62.53% (G:24.11% B:1.44%)

    4. 3 ply       7/4                          eq:-0.632 (-0.209)
      Player  : 33.55% (G:4.44% B:0.16%)
      Opponent: 66.45% (G:23.43% B:1.23%)

    5. 2 ply       3/1 3/2*                     eq:-0.632 (-0.209)
      Player  : 34.25% (G:5.47% B:0.20%)
      Opponent: 65.75% (G:25.48% B:1.58%)


eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.20, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

作成者:

nori [ 2010/08/15 17:13 ]

記事の件名:

Re: 12の理由

Gnubgのrollout

コード:

    1. ロールアウト   8/7 8/6                      Eq.:  -0.416
       0.349 0.051 0.003 - 0.651 0.183 0.035 CL  -0.493 CF  -0.416
      [0.001 0.001 0.001 - 0.001 0.003 0.003 CL   0.005 CF   0.008]
        Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
        1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 894222209 and quasi-random dice
        Play: world class 2-ply キューブフル prune [world class]
        keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
        Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
        キューブ: 2-ply キューブフル prune [world class]
    2. ロールアウト   8/5                          Eq.:  -0.420 ( -0.004)
       0.376 0.054 0.003 - 0.624 0.266 0.068 CL  -0.583 CF  -0.420
      [0.002 0.001 0.001 - 0.002 0.004 0.005 CL   0.008 CF   0.010]
        Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
        1287 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 894222209 and quasi-random dice
        Play: world class 2-ply キューブフル prune [world class]
        keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
        Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
        キューブ: 2-ply キューブフル prune [world class]
    3. ロールアウト   7/6 7/5                      Eq.:  -0.457 ( -0.041)
       0.339 0.046 0.003 - 0.661 0.179 0.039 CL  -0.520 CF  -0.457
      [0.001 0.001 0.001 - 0.001 0.003 0.004 CL   0.005 CF   0.008]
        Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
        1282 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 894222209 and quasi-random dice
        Play: world class 2-ply キューブフル prune [world class]
        keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
        Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
        キューブ: 2-ply キューブフル prune [world class]

作成者:

nori [ 2010/08/15 17:14 ]

記事の件名:

Re: 12の理由

XGのrollout結果

コード:

XGID=--aBBBBBB-------ab-cccbC--:0:0:1:21:4:5:0:7:10

X:nori   O:FRENCHKISS
Score is X:4 O:5 7 pt(s) match.
 +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
 |          O  O    |   | O  O  O  O  X    |
 |             O    |   | O  O  O  O  X    |
 |                  |   | O  O  O     X    |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |BAR|                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |             X  X |   | X  X  X  X       |
 |             X  X |   | X  X  X  X  O    |
 +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pipcount  X: 135  O: 99 X-O: 4-5/7
Cube  : 1
X to play 21

    1. Rolloutｹ    8/7 8/6                      eq:-0.424
      Player  : 34.58% (G:4.67% B:0.16%)
      Opponent: 65.42% (G:17.60% B:2.04%)
      Confidence: ｱ 0.015 (-0.439<E<-0.409)
      Duration: 4 minutes 04 seconds

    2. Rolloutｹ    7/6 7/5                      eq:-0.447 (-0.023)
      Player  : 33.73% (G:4.00% B:0.18%)
      Opponent: 66.27% (G:16.83% B:2.41%)
      Confidence: ｱ 0.015 (-0.462<E<-0.432)
      Duration: 5 minutes 18 seconds

    3. 4 ply       8/5                          eq:-0.478 (-0.054)
      Player  : 37.47% (G:4.81% B:0.15%)
      Opponent: 62.53% (G:24.11% B:1.44%)

    4. 3 ply       7/4                          eq:-0.632 (-0.208)
      Player  : 33.55% (G:4.44% B:0.16%)
      Opponent: 66.45% (G:23.43% B:1.23%)

    5. 2 ply       3/1 3/2*                     eq:-0.632 (-0.208)
      Player  : 34.25% (G:5.47% B:0.20%)
      Opponent: 65.75% (G:25.48% B:1.58%)


ｹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
  Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply


eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.20, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

作成者:	nori [ 2010/08/16 03:23 ]
記事の件名:	Re: 12の理由
「次に６を振っても５プラを維持できる」か。

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