nori.jpg [ 224.11 KiB | 閲覧された回数 10970 回 ]

XGID=-ba--BCBB----------bccBdCA:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:5:10
Pipcount  X: 199  O: 118 X-O: 0-0/5
Cube  : 2, X own cube
X on roll, cube action

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
  Player Winning Chances:    70.86% (G: 21.06% B:  1.78%)
  Opponent Winning Chances:  29.14% (G: 15.74% B:  4.44%)
Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances:    72.29% (G: 19.75% B:  2.88%)
  Opponent Winning Chances:  27.71% (G: 15.43% B:  6.61%)

Cubeless Equities: No Redouble=+0.459, Redouble=+1.078

Cubeful Equities:
       No Redouble:   +0.872 (-0.128)
       Redouble/Take: +1.016 (+0.016)
       Redouble/Drop: +1.000

Best Cube action: Redouble / Drop

Rollout
  1200 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
  Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
  Confidence No Double: ｱ 0.023 (+0.849<E<+0.896)
  Confidence Double:    ｱ 0.032 (+0.984<E<+1.047)
  
  Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
  Take Decision confidence: 83.3%
  
  Duration: 23 minutes 42 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

ロールアウト詳細:
プレイヤー nori 所有 2-cube:
  0.705 0.219 0.028 - 0.295 0.163 0.037 CL  +0.442 CF  +0.923
 [0.002 0.002 0.002 - 0.002 0.002 0.002 CL   0.005 CF   0.008]
プレイヤー Kenji 所有 4-cube:
  0.728 0.216 0.046 - 0.272 0.159 0.070 CL  +1.143 CF  +1.052
 [0.002 0.002 0.002 - 0.002 0.002 0.002 CL   0.010 CF   0.011]
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
4965 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 901745656 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply キューブフル prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
キューブ: 2-ply キューブフル prune [world class]

XGID=-ba--BCBB----------bccBdCA:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:5:10

X:Player 1   O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0 5 pt(s) match.
 +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
 |                  |   | O  O  O  X  O  X |
 |                  |   | O  O  O  X  O  X |
 |                  |   |    O  O     O  X |
 |                  |   |             O    |
 |                  | X |                  |
 |                  |BAR|                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   | X                | +---+
 |             X  X |   | X  X           O | | 2 |
 |             X  X |   | X  X        O  O | +---+
 +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pipcount  X: 199  O: 118 X-O: 0-0/5
Cube  : 2, X own cube
X on roll, cube action

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
  Player Winning Chances:    71.15% (G: 21.10% B:  1.98%)
  Opponent Winning Chances:  28.85% (G: 15.52% B:  4.57%)
Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances:    72.45% (G: 20.14% B:  2.89%)
  Opponent Winning Chances:  27.55% (G: 15.33% B:  6.67%)

Cubeless Equities: No Redouble=+0.469, Redouble=+1.091

Cubeful Equities:
       No Redouble:   +0.883 (-0.117)
       Redouble/Take: +1.030 (+0.030)
       Redouble/Drop: +1.000

Best Cube action: Redouble / Drop

Rollout
  19200 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
  Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
  Confidence No Double: ｱ 0.006 (+0.877<E<+0.889)
  Confidence Double:    ｱ 0.008 (+1.022<E<+1.038)
  
  Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
  Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
  
  Duration: 6 hours 30 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross