{"id":70983,"date":"2025-09-30T09:32:51","date_gmt":"2025-09-30T00:32:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/backgammon.or.jp\/?page_id=70983"},"modified":"2026-06-18T14:57:33","modified_gmt":"2026-06-18T05:57:33","slug":"%e3%83%ac%e3%83%bc%e3%83%86%e3%82%a3%e3%83%b3%e3%82%b0%e3%81%ab%e3%81%a4%e3%81%84%e3%81%a6","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/backgammon.or.jp\/?page_id=70983","title":{"rendered":"\u516c\u8a8d\u30ec\u30fc\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

\u516c\u8a8d\u30ec\u30fc\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0<\/h1>\n\n\n\n
\n
\u516c\u8a8d\u30ec\u30fc\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n
\u8868\u5f70\u898f\u5b9a<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n
\u8a18\u9332\u96c6<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

\u30ec\u30fc\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\u3068\u306f\u3001\u30d7\u30ec\u30a4\u30e4\u30fc\u306e\u5b9f\u529b\u3092\u6570\u5024\u3067\u8868\u3057\u305f\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002
\u6bb5\u4f4d\u3084\u7d1a\u4f4d\u3068\u306f\u7570\u306a\u308a\u3001\u8a66\u5408\u7d50\u679c\u306b\u5fdc\u3058\u3066\u70b9\u6570\u304c\u4e0a\u4e0b\u306b\u5909\u52d5\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3001\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u5b9f\u529b\u3092\u3088\u308a\u6b63\u78ba\u306b\u53cd\u6620\u3067\u304d\u308b\u4ed5\u7d44\u307f\u3068\u3057\u3066\u63a1\u7528\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002

JBS\u3067\u306f\u3001\u4f1a\u54e1\u540c\u58eb\u3067\u884c\u308f\u308c\u308b5\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u30de\u30c3\u30c1\u4ee5\u4e0a\u306e\u8a66\u5408\u3092\u30ec\u30fc\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\u6226\u3068\u3057\u3066\u516c\u8a8d\u3057\u3001\u305d\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u3092\u3082\u3068\u306b\u30e9\u30f3\u30ad\u30f3\u30b0\u3092\u96c6\u8a08\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002
\u307e\u305f\u3001\u5e74\u9593\u6210\u7e3e\u306e\u512a\u79c0\u8005\u306b\u306f\u300cJBS\u8cde\u300d\u3092\u6388\u4e0e\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JBS\u516c\u8a8d\u30ec\u30fc\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\u304a\u3088\u3073\u5e74\u9593\u30ec\u30fc\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\u306f\u30011000\u70b9\u304b\u3089\u30b9\u30bf\u30fc\u30c8\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002
\u30ec\u30fc\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\u6226\u306b\u52dd\u3064\u3068\u70b9\u6570\u304c\u4e0a\u304c\u308a\u3001\u8ca0\u3051\u308b\u3068\u4e0b\u304c\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002
\u70b9\u6570\u306e\u5909\u52d5\u5e45\u306f\u4e00\u5f8b\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u5bfe\u6226\u76f8\u624b\u3068\u306e\u5b9f\u529b\u5dee\u3084\u8a66\u5408\u306e\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u6570\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u5909\u308f\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002
\u30ec\u30fc\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\u306e\u9ad8\u3044\u30d7\u30ec\u30a4\u30e4\u30fc\u306b\u52dd\u3064\u3068\u5927\u304d\u304f\u4e0a\u304c\u308a\u3001\u30ec\u30fc\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\u306e\u4f4e\u3044\u30d7\u30ec\u30a4\u30e4\u30fc\u306b\u52dd\u3063\u305f\u5834\u5408\u306f\u3001\u4e0a\u6607\u5e45\u304c\u5c0f\u3055\u304f\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002
\u307e\u305f\u3001\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u6570\u306e\u9577\u3044\u8a66\u5408\u307b\u3069\u3001\u30ec\u30fc\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\u306e\u5909\u52d5\u5e45\u3082\u5927\u304d\u304f\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u30ec\u30fc\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\u306e\u8a08\u7b97\u65b9\u6cd5<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

\uff11\uff0e\u4e21\u8005\u306e\u30ec\u30fc\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\u5dee\u304b\u3089\u5f53\u8a72\u30de\u30c3\u30c1\u306e\u4e88\u60f3\u52dd\u7387\u3092\u6c42\u3081\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

P_upset = 1\/(10^(D*SQRT(N)\/2000)+1)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

P_upset<\/strong>\uff1a\u70b9\u304c\u4f4e\u3044\u65b9\u306e\u4e88\u60f3\u52dd\u7387
D<\/strong>\uff1a\u30ec\u30fc\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\u5dee
N<\/strong>\uff1a\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u6570<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4f8b\uff09\u30ec\u30fc\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b01000\u30681100\u306b\u3088\u308b9\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u30de\u30c3\u30c1
P_upset = 1\/(10^(100*SQRT(9)\/2000)+1) = 1\/(10^(300\/2000)+1) = 1\/(1.413+1) = 0.4145<\/strong>
\u4e88\u60f3\u52dd\u7387\u306f41.45%\u3068\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uff12\uff0e\u30ec\u30fc\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\u304c\u9ad8\u3044\u65b9\u304c\u52dd\u3063\u305f\u5834\u5408\u3001\u52dd\u8005\u304c\u5f97\u308b\u70b9\u6570\u306f N*P_upset \u3068\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/strong>
\u3000\u3000\u8ca0\u3051\u305f\u76f8\u624b\uff08\u30ec\u30fc\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\u304c\u4f4e\u3044\u65b9\uff09\u306f\u540c\u3058\u70b9\u6570\u3060\u3051\u5931\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4f8b\uff09\u30ec\u30fc\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b01100\u304c1000\u306b\u5bfe\u30579\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u30de\u30c3\u30c1\u3067\u52dd\u5229
\u5909\u52d5\u3059\u308b\u5f97\u5931\u70b9\uff1a9*0.4145=3.73
\u52dd\u8005\u30ec\u30fc\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\uff1a1100.00 \u2192 1103.73
\u6557\u8005\u30ec\u30fc\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\uff1a1000.00 \u2192 996.27<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uff13\uff0e\u30ec\u30fc\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\u304c\u4f4e\u3044\u65b9\u304c\u52dd\u3063\u305f\u5834\u5408\u3001\u52dd\u8005\u304c\u5f97\u308b\u70b9\u6570\u306f N*(1-P_upset) \u3068\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/strong>
\u3000\u3000\u8ca0\u3051\u305f\u76f8\u624b\uff08\u30ec\u30fc\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\u304c\u9ad8\u3044\u65b9\uff09\u306f\u540c\u3058\u70b9\u6570\u3060\u3051\u5931\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4f8b\uff09\u30ec\u30fc\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b01000\u304c1100\u306b\u5bfe\u30579\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u30de\u30c3\u30c1\u3067\u52dd\u5229
\u5909\u52d5\u3059\u308b\u5f97\u5931\u70b9\uff1a9*(1-0.4145)=5.27
\u52dd\u8005\u30ec\u30fc\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\uff1a1000.00 \u2192 1005.27
\u6557\u8005\u30ec\u30fc\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\uff1a1100.00 \u2192 1094.73<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u516c\u8a8d\u30ec\u30fc\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0 \u30ec\u30fc\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\u3068\u306f\u3001\u30d7\u30ec\u30a4\u30e4\u30fc\u306e\u5b9f\u529b\u3092\u6570\u5024\u3067\u8868\u3057\u305f\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002\u6bb5\u4f4d\u3084\u7d1a\u4f4d\u3068\u306f\u7570\u306a\u308a\u3001\u8a66\u5408\u7d50\u679c\u306b\u5fdc\u3058\u3066\u70b9\u6570\u304c\u4e0a\u4e0b\u306b\u5909\u52d5\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3001\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u5b9f\u529b\u3092\u3088\u308a\u6b63\u78ba\u306b\u53cd\u6620\u3067\u304d\u308b\u4ed5\u7d44\u307f\u3068\u3057\u3066\u63a1\u7528\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002 JBS\u3067\u306f\u3001\u4f1a\u54e1\u540c […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"template-fullwidth.php","meta":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/backgammon.or.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/70983"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/backgammon.or.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/backgammon.or.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/backgammon.or.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/backgammon.or.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=70983"}],"version-history":[{"count":19,"href":"https:\/\/backgammon.or.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/70983\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":74002,"href":"https:\/\/backgammon.or.jp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/70983\/revisions\/74002"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/backgammon.or.jp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=70983"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}