例によって解析結果だけ先に出しておきます。時間を見つけて私の考えも書く予定です。
さっと書くとb/22の位置はポイントオンされる目がほとんどないので実は安全な位置。
bar/20はルースヒットされる分損なのではないかと思っています。
しかし13/11はできないなあ。
コード:
XGID=----bBC-D---cD-a-c-d-b-A-A:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Money session, Jacoby Beaver
+24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+
| X O O | | O O X |
| O O | | O X |
| O | | O X |
| O | | X |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| X | | X O |
| O X X | | X O |
| O X X | | X O |
+-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+
Pipcount X: 160 O: 147 X-O: 0-0
Cube : 1
X to play 32
1. Rolloutケ Bar/22 13/11 eq:-0.380
Player : 42.00% (G:8.93% B:0.41%)
Opponent: 58.00% (G:18.04% B:0.77%)
Confidence: ア 0.006 (-0.386<E<-0.374)
Duration: 48 minutes 51 seconds
2. Rolloutイ Bar/22 8/6 eq:-0.392 (-0.012)
Player : 41.57% (G:8.50% B:0.37%)
Opponent: 58.43% (G:17.58% B:0.61%)
Confidence: ア 0.006 (-0.398<E<-0.386)
Duration: 47 minutes 06 seconds
3. Rolloutウ Bar/20 eq:-0.410 (-0.030)
Player : 41.79% (G:8.94% B:0.42%)
Opponent: 58.21% (G:19.85% B:0.73%)
Confidence: ア 0.007 (-0.417<E<-0.403)
Duration: 29 minutes 10 seconds
4. Rollout4 Bar/23 8/5 eq:-0.431 (-0.052)
Player : 39.77% (G:7.85% B:0.35%)
Opponent: 60.23% (G:15.05% B:0.67%)
Confidence: ア 0.008 (-0.439<E<-0.423)
Duration: 27 minutes 26 seconds
5. 3 ply Bar/23 6/3 eq:-0.408 (-0.028)
Player : 39.34% (G:7.71% B:0.26%)
Opponent: 60.66% (G:15.01% B:0.59%)
ケ Truncated at 11 moves using 5 ply.
2131 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1341
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
イ Truncated at 11 moves using 5 ply.
2130 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1341
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
ウ Truncated at 11 moves using 5 ply.
1300 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1341
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
4 Truncated at 11 moves using 5 ply.
1299 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1341
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.14