Home » Nagoya Quiz 2004
Nagoya Quiz 2004
Ploblem1
Ploblem1 Answer
1. R bar/17 Eq.: -0.424
0.3% 7.3% 42.9% 57.1% 19.6% 0.6%
Live cube rollout: -0.402
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: -0.268 ±0.025,
- live cube: -0.402 ±0.063.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 8884 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
2. R bar/23 8/2 Eq.: -0.583 (-0.159)
0.3% 7.4% 39.4% 60.6% 21.1% 0.5%
Live cube rollout: -0.546
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: -0.351 ±0.024,
- live cube: -0.546 ±0.049.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 11008 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
3. R bar/23 13/7 Eq.: -1.000 (-0.576)
0.3% 7.1% 35.7% 64.3% 31.6% 1.6%
Live cube rollout: -1.000
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: -0.545 ±0.026,
- live cube: -1.000 ±0.000.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 8678 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
Ploblem2
Ploblem2 Answer
1. R 8/2* Eq.: -0.791
0.8% 16.3% 39.3% 60.7% 34.9% 6.0%
Live cube rollout: -0.820
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: -0.452 ±0.027,
- live cube: -0.820 ±0.063.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 10815 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
2. R 6/1* 4/3 Eq.: -0.938 (-0.147)
0.5% 15.9% 36.2% 63.8% 34.9% 5.5%
Live cube rollout: -0.976
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: -0.516 ±0.028,
- live cube: -0.976 ±0.068.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 9581 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
3. R 8/7 6/1* Eq.: -1.000 (-0.209)
0.5% 14.7% 36.8% 63.2% 38.3% 8.8%
Live cube rollout: -1.000
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: -0.582 ±0.033,
- live cube: -1.000 ±0.000.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 8276 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
4. R 11/10 6/1* Eq.: -1.000 (-0.209)
0.8% 15.2% 37.1% 62.9% 39.0% 9.2%
Live cube rollout: -1.000
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: -0.580 ±0.035,
- live cube: -1.000 ±0.000.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 8995 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
5. 3 8/3 4/3 Eq.: -1.000 (-0.209)
0.7% 11.3% 31.6% 68.4% 31.1% 1.9%
Ploblem3
Ploblem3 Answer
1. R bar/24 13/12 5/4*(2) Eq.: -0.255
0.7% 13.1% 45.7% 54.3% 21.5% 1.1%
Live cube rollout: -0.189
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: -0.175 ±0.022,
- live cube: -0.189 ±0.044.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 14470 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
2. R bar/24 11/10 5/4*(2) Eq.: -0.425 (-0.170)
0.4% 11.3% 42.4% 57.6% 24.9% 1.1%
Live cube rollout: -0.315
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: -0.294 ±0.023,
- live cube: -0.315 ±0.052.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 13894 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
3. R bar/24 13/12 11/10(2) Eq.: -1.000 (-0.745)
0.6% 7.6% 26.6% 73.4% 41.8% 2.2%
Live cube rollout: -1.000
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: -0.826 ±0.019,
- live cube: -1.000 ±0.000.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 15327 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
4. R bar/24 13/12(2) 12/11 Eq.: -1.000 (-0.745)
0.3% 7.6% 30.3% 69.7% 32.7% 0.7%
Live cube rollout: -1.000
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: -0.649 ±0.022,
- live cube: -1.000 ±0.000.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 13225 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
5. 3 bar/24 6/5(2) 5/4* Eq.: -1.000 (-0.745)
0.3% 7.5% 27.2% 72.8% 40.4% 1.6%
Ploblem4
Ploblem4 Answer
1. R 24/23 15/10 Eq.: -0.414
0.9% 15.5% 45.0% 55.0% 19.6% 0.9%
Live cube rollout: -0.424
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: -0.142 ±0.028,
- live cube: -0.424 ±0.070.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 9548 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
2. R 15/10 6/5 Eq.: -0.813 (-0.399)
0.8% 13.7% 38.7% 61.3% 21.5% 1.4%
Live cube rollout: -0.878
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: -0.311 ±0.030,
- live cube: -0.878 ±0.080.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 8619 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
3. R 13/7 Eq.: -0.930 (-0.516)
0.7% 13.9% 37.7% 62.3% 22.5% 1.7%
Live cube rollout: -0.950
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: -0.343 ±0.036,
- live cube: -0.950 ±0.104.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
194 games (equiv. 6260 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
4. 3 15/9 Eq.: -0.582 (-0.168)
1.2% 15.9% 41.4% 58.6% 21.2% 1.6%
5. 3 24/23 7/2* Eq.: -0.824 (-0.410)
1.3% 16.8% 40.7% 59.3% 25.7% 2.6%
Ploblem5
Ploblem5 Answer
1. R 8/4*/3* Eq.: 0.226
0.8% 19.0% 54.9% 45.1% 12.7% 0.7%
Live cube rollout: 0.281
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: 0.161 ±0.033,
- live cube: 0.281 ±0.083.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 7385 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
2. R 6/2*/1 Eq.: 0.092 (-0.134)
0.8% 16.3% 51.8% 48.2% 13.6% 0.6%
Live cube rollout: 0.075
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: 0.065 ±0.031,
- live cube: 0.075 ±0.077.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 7013 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
3. R 24/20 6/5 Eq.: 0.075 (-0.151)
0.4% 14.8% 51.3% 48.7% 12.0% 0.4%
Live cube rollout: 0.057
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: 0.053 ±0.029,
- live cube: 0.057 ±0.060.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 9037 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
4. R 11/6 Eq.: 0.043 (-0.183)
0.8% 15.6% 50.7% 49.3% 13.6% 0.6%
Live cube rollout: 0.095
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: 0.036 ±0.027,
- live cube: 0.095 ±0.064.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 9260 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
5. R 24/20 11/10 Eq.: 0.010 (-0.216)
0.8% 13.4% 49.8% 50.2% 12.6% 0.3%
Live cube rollout: 0.034
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: 0.007 ±0.027,
- live cube: 0.034 ±0.056.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 9284 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
!Alert! Blunder (0.165)
Ploblem6
Ploblem6 Answer
1. R bar/22 13/8 Eq.: -0.402
0.2% 7.2% 40.4% 59.6% 15.4% 0.3%
Live cube rollout: -0.376
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: -0.276 ±0.024,
- live cube: -0.376 ±0.055.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 9582 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
2. R bar/22 6/1 Eq.: -0.481 (-0.079)
0.2% 8.2% 38.6% 61.4% 18.2% 0.6%
Live cube rollout: -0.456
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: -0.332 ±0.026,
- live cube: -0.456 ±0.061.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 8507 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
3. R bar/20 13/10 Eq.: -0.505 (-0.103)
0.2% 6.6% 38.6% 61.4% 16.9% 0.3%
Live cube rollout: -0.499
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: -0.332 ±0.025,
- live cube: -0.499 ±0.062.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 7681 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
4. R bar/20 6/3 Eq.: -0.522 (-0.120)
0.3% 7.9% 38.1% 61.9% 19.0% 0.5%
Live cube rollout: -0.522
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: -0.351 ±0.024,
- live cube: -0.522 ±0.044.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 9773 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
5. 3 bar/22 8/3 Eq.: -0.571 (-0.169)
0.4% 8.4% 36.7% 63.3% 22.6% 0.9%
!Alert! Blunder (0.178)
Ploblem7
Ploblem7 Answer
1. R 24/22 23/22 Eq.: -0.559
0.0% 3.4% 22.1% 77.9% 21.1% 0.6%
Live cube rollout: -0.559
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: -0.742 ±0.019,
- live cube: -0.559 ±0.015.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 12225 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
2. R 24/22 5/4 Eq.: -0.676 (-0.117)
0.1% 3.0% 16.2% 83.8% 29.0% 1.2%
Live cube rollout: -0.676
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: -0.946 ±0.022,
- live cube: -0.676 ±0.016.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 7991 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
3. R 24/22 2/1 Eq.: -0.691 (-0.132)
0.0% 2.2% 15.4% 84.6% 28.0% 1.6%
Live cube rollout: -0.691
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: -0.964 ±0.020,
- live cube: -0.691 ±0.015.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 9245 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
4. R 23/22 7/5 Eq.: -0.715 (-0.156)
0.0% 2.1% 14.3% 85.7% 28.4% 1.4%
Live cube rollout: -0.715
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: -0.993 ±0.017,
- live cube: -0.715 ±0.013.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 11876 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
5. R 24/22 7/6 Eq.: -0.720 (-0.162)
0.0% 2.1% 14.0% 86.0% 27.1% 1.2%
Live cube rollout: -0.720
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: -0.982 ±0.018,
- live cube: -0.720 ±0.013.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 10184 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
!Alert! Blunder (0.917)
Ploblem8
Ploblem8 Answer
1. R 21/15 9/5 Eq.: 1.083
0.8% 48.6% 69.4% 30.6% 4.3% 0.1%
Live cube rollout: 1.084
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: 0.838 ±0.027,
- live cube: 1.084 ±0.056.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 9849 games),
played 3-ply (fast), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
2. R 21/15 6/2 Eq.: 0.915 (-0.168)
0.8% 43.3% 66.4% 33.6% 5.4% 0.2%
Live cube rollout: 0.873
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: 0.712 ±0.026,
- live cube: 0.873 ±0.044.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 10752 games),
played 3-ply (fast), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
3. R 21/11 Eq.: 0.911 (-0.171)
0.6% 40.9% 66.2% 33.8% 4.2% 0.2%
Live cube rollout: 0.839
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: 0.695 ±0.024,
- live cube: 0.839 ±0.042.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 12161 games),
played 3-ply (fast), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
4. 3 21/15 5/1 Eq.: -0.015 (-1.098)
0.7% 22.8% 44.6% 55.4% 13.3% 0.6%
5. 3 9/3 9/5 Eq.: -0.300 (-1.383)
0.6% 17.5% 39.8% 60.2% 8.5% 0.2%
Ploblem9
Ploblem9 Answer
1. R bar/23 8/2 Eq.: -0.807
0.5% 9.8% 32.0% 68.0% 25.6% 0.5%
Live cube rollout: -0.788
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: -0.520 ±0.021,
- live cube: -0.788 ±0.044.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 14585 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
settlement 0.550 at 16 pts,
seed 1, without race database.
2. R bar/17 Eq.: -0.988 (-0.181)
0.2% 5.7% 29.6% 70.4% 25.1% 0.3%
Live cube rollout: -0.997
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: -0.602 ±0.019,
- live cube: -0.997 ±0.048.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 14167 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
settlement 0.550 at 16 pts,
seed 1, without race database.
!Alert! Blunder (0.184)
Ploblem10
Ploblem10 Answer
1. R bar/21 13/5* 6/2* Eq.: 0.364
1.2% 24.0% 57.4% 42.6% 13.8% 1.1%
Live cube rollout: 0.360
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: 0.252 ±0.027,
- live cube: 0.360 ±0.055.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 9516 games),
played 3-ply (fast), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
2. R bar/21 13/9(2) 9/5* Eq.: 0.151 (-0.213)
1.1% 18.5% 53.2% 46.8% 13.1% 0.8%
Live cube rollout: 0.143
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: 0.122 ±0.027,
- live cube: 0.143 ±0.059.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 9456 games),
played 3-ply (fast), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
3. R bar/21 13/5* 8/4 Eq.: 0.137 (-0.227)
1.0% 19.4% 52.4% 47.6% 13.1% 1.0%
Live cube rollout: 0.136
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: 0.113 ±0.030,
- live cube: 0.136 ±0.067.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 7426 games),
played 3-ply (fast), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
4. R bar/21 11/7(2) 6/2* Eq.: 0.089 (-0.275)
0.7% 15.3% 51.3% 48.7% 13.0% 0.6%
Live cube rollout: 0.096
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: 0.052 ±0.025,
- live cube: 0.096 ±0.052.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
324 games (equiv. 11176 games),
played 3-ply (fast), cube 3-ply,
seed 1, without race database.
5. 3 bar/21 13/9(2) 8/4 Eq.: 0.080 (-0.284)
0.7% 15.7% 51.6% 48.4% 12.8% 0.6%
